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Who’s responsible? It is a question you’ll hear repeated often this year as the world works through the current financial mess and a recession of a severity not seen for perhaps 80 years. And it is also a question that will be constantly raised during the UN summit in Copenhagen. That December event, designed to broker an effective global deal on CO2 emissions, is seen as make-or-break time for efforts to cool the planet.
The SRI market in Europe has assets under management (AuM) of €2.7 trillion ($3.47 million)
SRI has evolved to include a variety of sophisticated investing styles including positive screening and engagement
Leading pension funds believe they have a long-term interest in promoting the common good
Although climate change and corporate accountability may seem unrelated, to the growing Socially Responsible Investing (SRI)* community they are inseparable. Together they symbolize the reasons why finance and investment patterns need to change to focus firmly on long-term value creation, and on sustaining natural as well as financial assets.
Today, the SRI market in Europe has assets under management (AuM) of €2.7 trillion ($3.47 million) – 17.5% of the total asset management industry, according to the European Social Investment Forum (Eurosif). In the US, it is said that $1 out of every $9 under professional management is involved in SRI – 11% of the $25.1 trillion in the investment marketplace. And it has been predicted by Robeco, the Dutch fund manager, that the SRI market will grow by 25% per annum to reach 15-20% of total global AuM (approximately $26.5 trillion) by 2015. Yet, until recently, SRI was seen as niche market. What has changed?
First, there is the growth of pension funds to become significant shareholders in major corporations. This role offers them the potential to influence business decisions on areas of widespread societal concern, including corporate governance and, in particular, sustainable investing. As Will Oulton, Director of Responsible Investment at global index group FTSE, recently commented, “There is increasingly the realization in the business world that every company on the planet is a 100% subsidiary of Mother Nature – and unlike the financial system, ecosystems don’t have the ability to implement ‘bailouts.’” Second, SRI itself has evolved from its ethical origins to a stronger articulation of the business case. Investors, Eurosif argues, are accepting that “responsible investment is part of good risk management.”
The growth of pension funds was once termed the “unseen revolution.” Today, pension funds are among the largest investors in international financial markets, and their investment decisions are of increasing importance for society. In his book Socially Responsible Investment, Russell Sparkes, chief investment officer of the Central Finance Board of the Methodist Church, cites 3 July 2000 as an important date in the development of SRI. It was the day an amendment to the UK Pensions Act came into force: for the first time, occupational pension schemes would be required to disclose their policy on SRI. While there is no stated requirement for pension funds to have an SRI policy, the 50-word disclosure amendment encouraged such considerations.
According to Sparkes, the amendment was made against a background of concern about the growth of market forces. The 1980s and 1990s saw privatization, deregulation and globalization extend the power of corporations internationally while the boundaries of state regulation were rolled back. In this respect, governments saw pension funds and SRI as a mechanism to temper unregulated free-market forces with social restraint. Similar legislation has passed in many OECD countries and spurred the growth of SRI.
Refinement of SRI has also helped move it from the fringe towards the mainstream. Early on, SRI was characterized by the ethical concerns of churches and similar organizations. Exclusion or negative screens filtered out investments in areas such as alcohol, gambling, pornography, tobacco, military involvement and nuclear power. Yet, SRI initially had little impact on the asset management industry. There was a concern that SRI could conflict with fiduciary duty (Redefining the business of business) and anyway, fund managers in hot pursuit of alpha had little time for moral or ethical quandaries. The result, one US analyst explained, was that before 2000, “SRI funds were seen as a ‘ghetto.’ They quickly capped out at about 2% of the market and then went nowhere.”
Since the mid-1990s, SRI has evolved to include a variety of sophisticated investing styles including positive screening and engagement, which sees pension funds entering into active dialogue with companies, the aim being to improve sustainable business practices. “Best-in-class” is an approach that selects companies that have historically performed better than their peers within a particular industry or sector on SRI or sustainability-related issues. However, perhaps the most significant trend is the integration of ESG (environmental, social and corporate governance) issues into the assessment of corporate value.
According to the Financial Times (August 2008) ESG has emerged from an alphabet soup of acronyms to “best describe the off-balance-sheet factors that influence company performance.” The argument is that while analysts are well versed in using financial metrics, nonfinancial factors play an increasingly critical role in determining true corporate value.
By integrating analysis of ESG issues into their strategy, investors gain an enhanced appreciation of opportunities offered by companies, as well as the long-term operational, reputational and legal risks that could impact on performance. Investors in US car manufacturers and Europeans who were without heat as a result of the recent Russia-Ukraine pipeline squabble can perhaps better appreciate the need for longer-term risk and opportunity analysis.
While climate change dominates headlines, other environmental issues can influence a company’s long-term performance or offer opportunities for growth. Depending on the sector and company, these could include pollution, water scarcity, renewable energy opportunities and the use of toxic chemicals.
The cost of bankruptcy and litigation from unforeseen issues may take years and billions to resolve. Asbestos payouts of $5.2 billion by Owens Corning and the Bhopal disaster associated with Union Carbide are two high-profile cases. Issues such as child labor, animal welfare and discrimination provide risks to a company’s reputation. Enron, WorldCom, Tyco and Parmalat drew governance and accounting issues to the attention of investors not long ago. The recent rash of bailouts and failures will further underline the importance of corporate governance risk and bring such issues as “corporate malfeasance,” as Alan Greenspan once described it, to greater public attention.
To avoid risks or seize opportunities, investors must know more than just the financial figures of companies in their portfolio. ESG analysis is also increasingly acknowledged by firms such as UBS, Goldman Sachs and Société Générale. Supporters believe that a more thorough and systematic integration of ESG into portfolios will lead to outperformance in the long term. However, this remains a thorny topic. Current evidence suggests asset professionals could indeed do well by doing good, but they shouldn’t expect to do better than mainstream investors – though ESG may assist in reducing risks (The value of values).
Of course, outperformance and risk management are not the only reasons why investors apply ESG. Leading public pension funds, such as the French Fonds de réserve pour les retraites (FRR), the Norwegian Government Pension Fund, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS), because they are concerned with the retirement interests of civil servants, also believe they have a long-term interest in promoting the common good. But whether for money, principles, legislative and regulatory pressure, one thing seems sure, SRI will be a constant theme in the near future as the world tries to kick-start the economy while cooling down the planet.
Robeco thinks so. It predicted the SRI market will grow to 15-20% of total global AuM by 2015. Factors driving growth include: increased social awareness of “irresponsible” corporate behavior and the media attention and pressure this attracts; increasing prices of energy and raw materials; changing legislation such as mandatory CO2 reductions; the established track record for SRI performance; and technological innovation. While retail share of the market will increase, Robeco says, it will remain below the institutional share. Against this, SRI retail funds will be a growing source of revenue for asset managers, compared with mandates, which are currently the dominant product.
Published by PROJECT M in June 2009
(Artwork/Generative Design: Projekttriangle Design Studio; Photos: Michael Wolf/laif)
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“A 2 ºC increase in global temperatures is considered the threshold for catastrophic climate change,” explains Dr. Olaf Novak, head of the Natural Disasters Department at Allianz Reinsurance. According to a 2007 UN IPCC Report, the results will include: fresh water scarcity, sea-level rises, changing weather patterns, species extinction, increased disease and crop failure. To prevent it, scientists believe global greenhouse gas emissions must be reduced by 50% by 2050, with cuts of 80-90% in industrialized countries. “But this means major efforts to reduce CO2, and it looks unlikely the global community will undertake this. So, we are probably looking at much higher temperatures, which would be devastating.”
Novak cites the 2005 Stern Report which suggests the financial costs will be in the magnitude of 5-20% of GDP p.a. “While it is difficult to project exact effects, one thing is clear – climate change is coming. We are already seeing the results with global economic losses due to climate-related natural disasters increasing at an annual rate of 6%. By 2040, they could reach a record trillion dollars. Climate change will have significant effects, and the asset management industry cannot expect to be unaffected.”
In The "Unseen Revolution," Peter F. Drucker described the aging of society and a “revolution no one noticed.” It was the way institutional investors, including pension and mutual funds, were replacing wealthy investors as major shareholders at publicly traded firms. In 1976, 35% of US corporate stock had accumulated in pension funds. By 2005, institutional investors, which include pension funds, controlled 69.4% of all US corporate stock, making them a potential force in influencing business behavior.
According to projections by Allianz Global Investors, pension funds will continue to drive asset formation through to 2020 in Europe and the US.
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